First off, thank you to everyone for all the wonderful compliments for my piece on Expected Goals and Variance. Not a single analytics brush fire was started either! (Perhaps I failed, then?) There have also been upgrades made to DTMAboutHockey’s xG Charts to include xWin% and 11tegen11’s xG Plots include the Home/Away/Draw chances informed by the shots in the game. Great work by both, go check them out.

Secondly, I’ve gotten data from Michael Bertin and Paul Riley. They’ve graciously provided their 2015 MLS and 2015/2016 EPL expected goals datasets. You can look up values on your favorite players and teams, and then copy these over to the Longterm Expected Goals Simulator.* (An automated link will be coming soon. There might be slight differences in each model’s shots and goal values, we’ll get that sorted soon as well.)*

Thirdly, if you would like your model to be included, please shoot me an email (at the bottom of my site) or a DM on twitter and we can figure out a way to get your information easily available.

I’ll be offline most of this weekend, but hopefully you all will get a chance to check out the information that have been provided and gather some interesting insights. I’d love to see what you all find! “Enjoy” the International Break ;)

Perhaps Chelsea’s Goals Against might look a bit better soon?